Hurricane FRANCES
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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI AUG 27 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT MON AUG 30 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
16.5N 52.0W 49 X X X 49 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 3 3
18.0N 53.5W 15 19 X 1 35 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 4 4
19.0N 55.5W X 16 11 1 28 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 2 2
TDPR 153N 614W X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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