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Hurricane FRANCES


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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI AUG 27 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON AUG 30 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.5N  52.0W      49  X  X  X 49   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  3  3
18.0N  53.5W      15 19  X  1 35   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  4  4
19.0N  55.5W       X 16 11  1 28   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  2  2   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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