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Tropical Storm EARL


ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED AUG 18 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.9N  66.5W      52  2  X  X 54   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X 20  3 23
15.0N  70.6W       X 35  1  1 37   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  9 15 24
16.1N  74.4W       X  1 26  X 27   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  3 19 22
SKPG 125N 717W     X  6  3  X  9   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 18 18
TNCC 122N 690W     2  9  X  X 11   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  4 11 15
SVMG 110N 640W     4  X  X  X  4   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 13 13
TTPP 106N 614W     2  X  X  X  2   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 12 12
TTPT 112N 608W    34  X  X  X 34   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X 11 11
TGPY 120N 618W    68  X  X  X 68   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  7  7
TBPB 131N 595W    85  X  X  X 85   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  5  5
TVSV 131N 612W    93  X  X  X 93   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W    70  X  X  X 70   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  2  X  X  2
TFFF 146N 610W    22  X  X  X 22   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  5  1  6
TDPR 153N 614W     5  X  X  X  5   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2
80400 157N 636W   20  X  X  X 20   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
TISX 177N 648W     1  1  X  X  2   ST CROIX VI        1  1  X  X  2
TJPS 180N 666W     1  4  X  X  5   SAN JUAN PR        X  2  X  X  2
MDSD 185N 697W     X  6  7  X 13   PONCE PR           1  4  X  X  5
MDCB 176N 714W     X 10 15  1 26   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X  1 17  1 19   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 15-Aug-2004 08:42:34 UTC