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Tropical Storm EARL (Text)

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
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TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE AUG 17 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.4N  61.3W      50  2  X  X 52   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X 14  9 23
14.7N  65.1W       X 34  2  X 36   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  9 15 24
15.9N  68.8W       X  1 26  1 28   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  2 20 22
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  1  4  5   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  1 21 22
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  4  2  6   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 15 15
SVMG 110N 640W     1  3  X  X  4   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X 12 12
TTPP 106N 614W     3  X  X  X  3   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  2  2
TTPT 112N 608W    12  1  X  X 13   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X 19 19
TGPY 120N 618W    24  4  X  X 28   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 10 10
TBPB 131N 595W    65  X  X  X 65   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3
TVSV 131N 612W    49  2  X  X 51   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  3 15  1 19
TLPL 138N 610W    53  1  X  X 54   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  3 15 18
TFFF 146N 610W    44  4  X  X 48   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X 10 10
TDPR 153N 614W    26 13  X  X 39   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  8  8
80400 157N 636W    1 36  X  X 37   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3
TFFR 163N 615W     7 17  X  X 24   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  5  5
TAPA 171N 618W     1 13  X  X 14   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  3  3
TKPK 173N 627W     X 15  2  X 17   ST CROIX VI        X 12  9  X 21
TNCM 181N 631W     X  7  4  X 11   ST THOMAS VI       X  5 11  1 17
TISX 177N 648W     X 12  9  X 21   SAN JUAN PR        X  3 15  1 19
TIST 183N 650W     X  5 11  1 17   PONCE PR           X  3 19  1 23
TJPS 180N 666W     X  3 19  1 23
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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