Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane CHARLEY


ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
44.1N  66.7W      19  4  X  X 23   BAR HARBOR ME     23  1  X  1 25
46.2N  62.0W       X 14  2  X 16   EASTPORT ME       17  5  X  X 22
47.3N  57.0W       X  2  8  3 13   ST JOHN NB        11  9  X  X 20
CAPE HATTERAS NC   8  X  X  X  8   MONCTON NB         4 14  X  X 18
NORFOLK VA        99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS       17  5  X  X 22
OCEAN CITY MD     99  X  X  X 99   HALIFAX NS         3 14  1  X 18
ATLANTIC CITY NJ  44  X  X  X 44   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  8  4  1 13
NEW YORK CITY NY  33  X  X  X 33   SYDNEY NS          X  9  5  1 15
MONTAUK POINT NY  52  X  X  X 52   EDDY POINT NS      X 13  2  1 16
PROVIDENCE RI     44  X  1  X 45   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  6  6  2 14
NANTUCKET MA      42  X  X  X 42   BURGEO NFLD        X  3  7  3 13
HYANNIS MA        42  X  1  X 43   ILE ST PIERRE      X  1  8  3 12
BOSTON MA         37  X  X  X 37   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  5  5 10
PORTLAND ME       26  X  X  1 27   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  7  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
$$
NNNN