Hurricane CHARLEY
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HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON AUG 16 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.9N 79.0W 23 7 X X 30 NANTUCKET MA X X 9 4 13
38.5N 76.3W X 19 6 X 25 HYANNIS MA X X 10 4 14
43.5N 72.0W X X 14 2 16 BOSTON MA X X 12 3 15
W PALM BEACH FL 8 X X X 8 PORTLAND ME X X 10 5 15
FT PIERCE FL 39 X X X 39 BAR HARBOR ME X X 4 9 13
COCOA BEACH FL 72 X X X 72 EASTPORT ME X X 1 10 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL 76 1 X X 77 ST JOHN NB X X 1 9 10
JACKSONVILLE FL 40 X X X 40 MONCTON NB X X X 9 9
SAVANNAH GA 32 X X X 32 YARMOUTH NS X X 1 9 10
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 X X 35 HALIFAX NS X X X 7 7
MYRTLE BEACH SC 23 7 1 X 31 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 3 3
WILMINGTON NC 10 18 X X 28 SYDNEY NS X X X 4 4
MOREHEAD CITY NC 2 21 1 X 24 EDDY POINT NS X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 17 3 1 21 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 3 3
NORFOLK VA X 21 4 X 25 BURGEO NFLD X X X 2 2
OCEAN CITY MD X 13 10 X 23 MARCO ISLAND FL 99 X X X 99
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 8 14 X 22 FT MYERS FL 99 X X X 99
NEW YORK CITY NY X 3 17 1 21 VENICE FL 99 X X X 99
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 15 1 16 TAMPA FL 68 X X X 68
PROVIDENCE RI X X 13 3 16 CEDAR KEY FL 5 X X X 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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