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Hurricane CHARLEY
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.5N 82.3W 47 1 X X 48 WILMINGTON NC X X 1 21 22
25.5N 82.5W 1 34 2 X 37 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 19 19
29.5N 81.5W X 1 29 2 32 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 15 15
MKJP 179N 768W 25 X X X 25 NORFOLK VA X X X 18 18
MKJS 185N 779W 99 X X X 99 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 14 14
MWCG 193N 814W 65 X X X 65 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 10 10
MUCF 221N 805W 35 X X X 35 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5
MUSN 216N 826W 52 X X X 52 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W 40 4 X X 44 KEY WEST FL 10 25 X X 35
MUAN 219N 850W 11 5 X X 16 MARCO ISLAND FL X 30 4 X 34
MYGF 266N 787W X 3 5 1 9 FT MYERS FL X 27 8 1 36
MARATHON FL 6 23 1 X 30 VENICE FL X 23 13 X 36
MIAMI FL X 18 5 X 23 TAMPA FL X 12 23 X 35
W PALM BEACH FL X 12 11 X 23 CEDAR KEY FL X 2 29 1 32
FT PIERCE FL X 9 17 X 26 ST MARKS FL X X 20 3 23
COCOA BEACH FL X 6 22 1 29 APALACHICOLA FL X X 16 2 18
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 2 28 1 31 PANAMA CITY FL X X 10 4 14
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 26 4 30 PENSACOLA FL X X 2 1 3
SAVANNAH GA X X 14 15 29 GULF 29N 85W X 1 17 2 20
CHARLESTON SC X X 6 21 27 GULF 29N 87W X X 3 1 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 2 23 25
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
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