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Tropical Storm CHARLEY


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TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED AUG 11 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.0N  80.9W      48  1  X  X 49   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X 25 25
22.7N  82.0W       2 32  1  X 35   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 24 24
25.0N  82.5W       X 15 13  1 29   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 21 21
MKJP 179N 768W    82  X  X  X 82   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 18 18
MKJS 185N 779W    72  X  X  X 72   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 12 12
MWCG 193N 814W    43  X  X  X 43   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7
MUCM 214N 779W     6  2  1  X  9   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  6  6
MUCF 221N 805W    14 20  X  X 34   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     7 28  X  X 35   KEY WEST FL        X 22  7  X 29
MUHA 230N 824W     X 32  1  X 33   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  7 17  4 28
MUAN 219N 850W     X 10  4  1 15   FT MYERS FL        X  3 19  7 29
MYAK 241N 776W     X  2  1  2  5   VENICE FL          X  1 19  9 29
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  2  3  6   TAMPA FL           X  X 14 14 28
MYGF 266N 787W     X  1  6 10 17   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  7 19 26
MARATHON FL        X 19  7  1 27   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1 20 21
MIAMI FL           X  6 13  5 24   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  2 16 18
W PALM BEACH FL    X  2 13  8 23   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1 14 15
FT PIERCE FL       X  1 11 13 25   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X 10 16 26   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  5 22 27   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  3 16 19
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1 26 27   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  6  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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