Tropical Storm CHARLEY
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TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE AUG 10 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST FRI AUG 13 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.8N 78.8W 49 X X 1 50 COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 11 12
20.7N 81.1W 2 34 X X 36 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 11 11
22.9N 82.3W X 14 15 X 29 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 9 9
MDCB 176N 714W 3 X X X 3 SAVANNAH GA X X X 4 4
MTCA 183N 738W 21 X X X 21 KEY WEST FL X 3 19 2 24
MKJP 179N 768W 67 X X X 67 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 12 8 20
MKJS 185N 779W 57 X X X 57 FT MYERS FL X X 8 11 19
MWCG 193N 814W 6 25 X 1 32 VENICE FL X X 6 13 19
MUGM 200N 751W 5 X X X 5 TAMPA FL X X 2 14 16
MUCM 214N 779W 7 12 X X 19 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 14 14
MUCF 221N 805W X 28 2 X 30 ST MARKS FL X X X 11 11
MUSN 216N 826W X 23 6 1 30 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 12 12
MUHA 230N 824W X 12 16 1 29 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 11 11
MUAN 219N 850W X 2 12 3 17 PENSACOLA FL X X X 7 7
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 1 3 4 MOBILE AL X X X 5 5
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 2 4 7 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
MYNN 251N 775W X X 2 4 6 BURAS LA X X X 3 3
MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 7 9 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X 2 17 3 22 GULF 29N 85W X X X 14 14
MIAMI FL X X 10 7 17 GULF 29N 87W X X X 10 10
W PALM BEACH FL X X 4 10 14 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 11 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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