Tropical Storm CHARLEY
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 10 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST FRI AUG 13 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.7N 77.4W 49 X X 1 50 W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 9 10
19.4N 80.0W 1 35 X X 36 FT PIERCE FL X X X 9 9
21.0N 82.0W X 13 15 1 29 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 8 8
MDCB 176N 714W 8 X X X 8 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 6 6
MTPP 186N 724W 2 X X X 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 4 4
MTCA 183N 738W 27 X X X 27 KEY WEST FL X X 13 7 20
MKJP 179N 768W 52 X X X 52 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 4 12 16
MKJS 185N 779W 38 6 X X 44 FT MYERS FL X X 2 13 15
MWCG 193N 814W X 25 4 X 29 VENICE FL X X 1 14 15
MUGM 200N 751W 7 1 X X 8 TAMPA FL X X X 12 12
MUCM 214N 779W X 17 1 1 19 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 10 10
MUCF 221N 805W X 14 11 1 26 ST MARKS FL X X X 7 7
MUSN 216N 826W X 5 21 1 27 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 9 9
MUHA 230N 824W X 1 21 3 25 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 8 8
MUAN 219N 850W X X 11 8 19 PENSACOLA FL X X X 5 5
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 1 6 7 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 1 3 5 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 3 4 BURAS LA X X X 3 3
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 6 6 GULF 29N 85W X X X 11 11
MARATHON FL X X 11 7 18 GULF 29N 87W X X X 9 9
MIAMI FL X X 4 9 13 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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