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Tropical Storm CHARLEY


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TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 10 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI AUG 13 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.7N  77.4W      49  X  X  1 50   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  9 10
19.4N  80.0W       1 35  X  X 36   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  9  9
21.0N  82.0W       X 13 15  1 29   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  8  8
MDCB 176N 714W     8  X  X  X  8   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  6  6
MTPP 186N 724W     2  X  X  X  2   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  4  4
MTCA 183N 738W    27  X  X  X 27   KEY WEST FL        X  X 13  7 20
MKJP 179N 768W    52  X  X  X 52   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  4 12 16
MKJS 185N 779W    38  6  X  X 44   FT MYERS FL        X  X  2 13 15
MWCG 193N 814W     X 25  4  X 29   VENICE FL          X  X  1 14 15
MUGM 200N 751W     7  1  X  X  8   TAMPA FL           X  X  X 12 12
MUCM 214N 779W     X 17  1  1 19   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X 10 10
MUCF 221N 805W     X 14 11  1 26   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MUSN 216N 826W     X  5 21  1 27   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  9  9
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1 21  3 25   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  8  8
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X 11  8 19   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  6  7   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  1  1  3  5   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  3  4   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  6  6   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X 11 11
MARATHON FL        X  X 11  7 18   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  9  9
MIAMI FL           X  X  4  9 13   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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