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Tropical Storm ALEX


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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU AUG  5 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.8N  76.0W      32  7  X  X 39   BOSTON MA          X  X  2  3  5
35.8N  73.0W       X 23  6  X 29   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  2  3
38.0N  69.0W       X  1 16  7 24   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
CHARLESTON SC     27  X  X  X 27   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  5  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   37  X  X  X 37   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC     37  X  X  X 37   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  5  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC  30  6  X  X 36   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  1 10 11
CAPE HATTERAS NC  13 20  X  X 33   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X 11 11
NORFOLK VA         2 15  2  X 19   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X 13 13
OCEAN CITY MD      X  8  5  1 14   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  8  8
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  2  5  1  8   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X 10 10
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  3  1  5   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  5  5
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  6  3  9   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  5  5
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  4  3  7   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  6  6
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  7  7 14   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  3  3
HYANNIS MA         X  X  5  6 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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