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Tropical Storm ALEX (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN AUG 01 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED AUG  4 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.1N  77.5W      32  1  X  1 34   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  3 10 13
34.7N  74.9W       X 20  4  X 24   HYANNIS MA         X  X  2 10 12
36.7N  71.6W       X  1 14  4 19   BOSTON MA          X  X  2  8 10
BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  7  8
SAVANNAH GA       61  X  X  X 61   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  8  8
CHARLESTON SC     39  X  X  X 39   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  8  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC   29  X  X  1 30   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  7  7
WILMINGTON NC     22  6  X  X 28   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  6  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC   9 17  1  X 27   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X 10 10
CAPE HATTERAS NC   1 21  2  X 24   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  8  8
NORFOLK VA         X 13  4  X 17   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  6  6
OCEAN CITY MD      X  5  8  1 14   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  4  4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1  8  3 12   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  6  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  6  4 10   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  5  7 12   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  3  8 11   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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