Tropical Storm ALEX
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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN AUG 01 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT WED AUG 4 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.1N 77.5W 32 1 X 1 34 NANTUCKET MA X X 3 10 13
34.7N 74.9W X 20 4 X 24 HYANNIS MA X X 2 10 12
36.7N 71.6W X 1 14 4 19 BOSTON MA X X 2 8 10
BERMUDA X X X 4 4 PORTLAND ME X X 1 7 8
SAVANNAH GA 61 X X X 61 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 8 8
CHARLESTON SC 39 X X X 39 EASTPORT ME X X X 8 8
MYRTLE BEACH SC 29 X X 1 30 ST JOHN NB X X X 7 7
WILMINGTON NC 22 6 X X 28 MONCTON NB X X X 6 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC 9 17 1 X 27 YARMOUTH NS X X X 10 10
CAPE HATTERAS NC 1 21 2 X 24 HALIFAX NS X X X 8 8
NORFOLK VA X 13 4 X 17 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 6 6
OCEAN CITY MD X 5 8 1 14 SYDNEY NS X X X 4 4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 1 8 3 12 EDDY POINT NS X X X 6 6
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 6 4 10 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 2 2
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 5 7 12 BURGEO NFLD X X X 2 2
PROVIDENCE RI X X 3 8 11 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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