Tropical Storm ALEX

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 01 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED AUG  4 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.5N  77.8W      32  X  X  1 33   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  9 11
34.7N  75.7W       4 16  2  X 22   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1 10 11
36.5N  72.5W       X  1 11  4 16   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X 11 11
BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X 10 10
SAVANNAH GA       18  X  X  X 18   BOSTON MA          X  X  X 10 10
CHARLESTON SC     42  X  X  X 42   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  8  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC   35  X  X  X 35   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  7  7
WILMINGTON NC     25  4  X  X 29   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  6  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC  11 12  1  X 24   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   2 15  4  X 21   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X 11  7  1 19   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
OCEAN CITY MD      X  2 12  1 15   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  4  4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  9  4 13   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  5  6 11   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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