Tropical Depression ONE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN AUG 01 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED AUG  4 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.0N  78.2W      28  1  X  X 29   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  5  9 14
34.8N  77.0W       7 11  2  1 21   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1 11 12
35.7N  75.5W       X  6  8  3 17   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X 11 11
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  9  9
SAVANNAH GA       17  X  X  X 17   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  8  8
CHARLESTON SC     61  X  X  X 61   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  8  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC   38  X  1  X 39   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  7  7
WILMINGTON NC     22  3  1  X 26   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  7  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC   6 11  3  1 21   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  8  7  3 18   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         X  4  9  4 17   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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