Hurricane JAVIER

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132004
0300Z SAT SEP 18 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ENGENIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ENGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 112.6W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 112.6W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 112.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.8N 113.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 25.9N 113.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.5N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.8N 113.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.0N 111.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...INLAND
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...INLAND
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 112.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART/AGUIRRE
 
 
$$
NNNN