ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132004 2100Z THU SEP 16 2004 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA...INCLUDING SAN CARLOS...TO LA PAZ. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JAVIER. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.2W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.2W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.9N 111.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.0N 112.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.2N 113.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.7N 114.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 28.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 29.5N 115.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 31.5N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 111.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN $$ NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Thursday, 16-Sep-2004 20:44:53 UTC