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Hurricane JAVIER (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132004
0300Z WED SEP 15 2004 
...CORRECTED TO ADD 12 FT SEAS RADII...
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JAVIER.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 108.1W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 108.1W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.1N 108.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.9N 109.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.6N 110.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.4N 113.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 24.8N 115.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 108.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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