Hurricane HOWARD

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HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112004
0300Z FRI SEP 03 2004

...CORRECTED FOR 50 KT WIND RADII AT 24 HOUR FORECAST...
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 114.8W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 114.8W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 114.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.8N 115.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.9N 116.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.2N 117.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 118.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.7N 118.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 119.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 28.0N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 114.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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