Tropical Storm HOWARD
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TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112004
0900Z TUE AUG 31 2004
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.0W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.0W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 105.6W
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.8N 107.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.9N 109.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.8N 111.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 21.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 106.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
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