Tropical Storm GEORGETTE

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TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102004
2100Z SUN AUG 29 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 121.7W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 65NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 121.7W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 121.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.9N 123.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.2N 125.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.5N 127.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 20.7N 129.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.0N 133.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 21.0N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 21.0N 142.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 121.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH
 
 
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