Tropical Storm BLAS

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TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032004
0300Z TUE JUL 13 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 108.4W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 108.4W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 107.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.6N 112.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 21.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.0N 123.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 24.0N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 108.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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