ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032004 1500Z MON JUL 12 2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.8W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.8W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.7N 107.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 24.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 105.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 12-Jul-2004 14:42:17 UTC