Tropical Depression THREE-E

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032004
1500Z MON JUL 12 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.8W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.8W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.7N 107.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 24.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 105.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
$$
NNNN