Tropical Storm AGATHA

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TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012004
1500Z SAT MAY 22 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.7N 111.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.0N 111.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT...REMNANT LOW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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