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Subtropical Storm NICOLE


ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152004
1500Z SUN OCT 10 2004
...CORRECTED TO ADD 12 FT SEAS RADII... 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  66.8W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 175SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 275SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  66.8W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  66.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.0N  66.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 175SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 36.6N  65.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 175SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 39.5N  64.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 41.1N  64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 44.0N  62.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N  66.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 10-Oct-2004 15:32:46 UTC