Hurricane KARL

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HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
2100Z THU SEP 23 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N  43.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  26 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT.......125NE 150SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......300NE 375SE 200SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..700NE 500SE 300SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N  43.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  43.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.7N  42.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...300NE 375SE 200SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 44.7N  42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 350SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 49.2N  40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 350SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 54.0N  34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 180SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 62.0N   9.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N  43.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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