Hurricane KARL

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HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
1500Z THU SEP 23 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  43.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  24 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......300NE 275SE 200SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 500SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  43.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  44.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 37.6N  42.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...300NE 275SE 200SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 42.9N  41.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 350SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 47.4N  40.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 350SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 52.0N  37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 180SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 61.0N  19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  43.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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