Hurricane KARL

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HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
0900Z THU SEP 23 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  45.8W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......300NE 275SE 200SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..700NE 540SE 540SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  45.8W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  46.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 275SE 200SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.5N  42.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 175SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 44.5N  41.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 49.5N  38.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...275NE 275SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 58.5N  22.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 125SE 125SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE 350SE 350SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 65.5N   5.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  45.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
 
 
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