Hurricane KARL

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HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
2100Z WED SEP 22 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  48.3W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 500SE 320SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  48.3W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  48.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.1N  47.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 33.7N  44.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.7N  42.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 44.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 53.0N  37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 60.0N  24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...EXTRATROPICAL
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N  48.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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