Hurricane KARL

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
0900Z WED SEP 22 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  49.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 420SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  49.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  49.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.7N  49.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.4N  47.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.5N  43.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 48.0N  39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 55.5N  32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  49.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
 
 
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