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Hurricane KARL (Text)


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HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
2100Z TUE SEP 21 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  48.6W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  70SE  25SW  75NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE  50SW 125NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 125SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..650NE 350SE 175SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  48.6W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  48.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.9N  49.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  50SW 125NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 125SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.6N  49.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.4N  47.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.1N  45.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 44.2N  42.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...275NE 275SE 150SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 52.5N  37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 57.5N  25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  48.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
$$
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Sep-2004 20:42:33 UTC