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Tropical Storm KARL (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
0300Z SAT SEP 18 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  37.4W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  37.4W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  36.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N  38.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.9N  40.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.9N  42.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  85SE  85SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.0N  43.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.5N  45.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 25.5N  47.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 31.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  37.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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