Hurricane JEANNE

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HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
0900Z SUN SEP 26 2004
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANEE RIVER.  A
HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM HALLANDALE NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF HALLANDALE...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA
KEYS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TO DESTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST SOUTH OF
ENGLEWOOD TO CHOKOLOSKEE...AND NORTH AND WEST OF THE SUWANNE RIVER
TO DESTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF
THE ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  81.1W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......180NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 180SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  81.1W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  80.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.1N  82.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.7N  83.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 110SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 31.8N  83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 39.0N  73.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 42.0N  64.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 46.0N  52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  81.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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