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Hurricane JEANNE (Text)

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HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
0300Z SUN SEP 26 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST MAY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY ON SUNDAY.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DOWNGRADED
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRAND
BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...BIMINI...AND THE BERRY ISLANDS...AND
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ELEUTHERA...ANDROS...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST OF NORTHERN FLORIDA TO INDIAN PASS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE
RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF
EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  80.0W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 180SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  80.0W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  79.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 28.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.2N  82.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.0N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 38.0N  75.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 42.0N  65.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 45.0N  54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  80.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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