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Hurricane JEANNE (Text)

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HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
0900Z FRI SEP 24 2004
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE
ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND
BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT
ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  71.6W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......105NE 105SE 105SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  71.6W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  71.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 26.1N  73.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 26.2N  75.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 26.6N  77.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...130NE 105SE 105SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.1N  79.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 105SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 34.0N  78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 39.5N  69.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N  71.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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