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Hurricane JEANNE (Text)

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HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
0300Z FRI SEP 24 2004
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST ON FRIDAY MORNING. INTERESTS ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  70.8W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  70.8W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  70.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.1N  72.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.1N  74.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.2N  77.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.5N  79.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.0N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 38.0N  73.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N  70.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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