Hurricane IVAN

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TROPICAL STORM IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  70
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
1500Z THU SEP 23 2004
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT
TEXAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  92.7W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  92.7W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  92.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.0N  94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N  95.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N  96.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.4N  97.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.5N  97.8W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N  92.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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