Hurricane IVAN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  59
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
0300Z FRI SEP 17 2004

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N  86.2W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N  86.2W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  86.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.2N  85.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.9N  83.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.0N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.3N  81.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 34.0N  83.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...INLAND AND DISSIPATED
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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