Hurricane IVAN

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  58
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
2100Z THU SEP 16 2004
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  87.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 350SE 250SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  87.0W AT 16/2100Z...INLAND
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  87.1W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.5N  85.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.6N  84.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 36.3N  82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.3N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 35.0N  80.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N  87.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
$$
NNNN