Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane IVAN


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
2100Z TUE SEP 14 2004
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FROM GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA TO APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW
ORLEANS AREA AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION THROUGHOUT THE
ENTIRE WARNING AREA.
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY LOUISIANA TO WEST OF GRAND ISLE...AND FROM EAST OF
APALACHICOLA TO YANKEETOWN FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...ALL WARNINGS IN MEXICO AND CUBA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED BY THEIR RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  86.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  929 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT.......175NE 125SE  75SW 125NW.
34 KT.......225NE 175SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 240SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  86.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  86.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 25.3N  87.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 125NW.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.2N  88.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 125NW.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.3N  88.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.5N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 125SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 34.5N  86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 35.5N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 35.5N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  86.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 14-Sep-2004 20:32:32 UTC