Tropical Storm IVAN

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TROPICAL STORM IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
1500Z SAT SEP 04 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.9N  38.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.9N  38.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.8N  38.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z  9.2N  41.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z  9.9N  44.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 10.6N  47.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 11.4N  51.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 13.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 17.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.9N  38.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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