Tropical Storm IVAN

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TROPICAL STORM IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
0300Z SAT SEP 04 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.1N  35.8W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 125SE 125SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.1N  35.8W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.1N  35.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z  9.2N  38.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  50SE  50SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z  9.4N  41.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.2N  44.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 14.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 16.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.1N  35.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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