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Hurricane FRANCES


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
0900Z SUN SEP 05 2004

CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 85 KT
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING
LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND
BAHAMA...ABACO...BIMIMI AND THE BERRY ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO
FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR BROWARD AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES...OR FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA
CITY...HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...ON THE WEST COAST...FROM ST. MARKS SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA
CITY...AND ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST FROM DEEFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD TO
FLORIDA CITY...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FROM WEST OF ST. MARKS TO PANAMA CITY.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  80.5W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 150SE 150SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 175SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  80.5W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  80.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 27.9N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 160SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.8N  83.6W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.9N  84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.5N  85.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 34.0N  86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 37.5N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 42.0N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 05-Sep-2004 08:52:26 UTC