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Hurricane FRANCES (Text)

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HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
0900Z SAT SEP 04 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO ENGLEWOOD.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ON THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY...AND FOR THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY TO THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...AND FOR FLORIDA BAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  78.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT.......125NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 180SE 180SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  78.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 27.0N  78.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT...125NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.5N  80.3W...NEAR FL COASTLINE
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
50 KT...125NE 110SE  60SW 110NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.2N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.0N  84.0W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 32.0N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 35.5N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 39.5N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  78.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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