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Hurricane FRANCES


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
0300Z SAT SEP 04 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST FROM BONITA BEACH EASTWARD TO SOUTH OF
FLORIDA CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REAMINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY SOUTHWARD
TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE
SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  77.8W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 95NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
50 KT.......145NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 180SE 180SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  77.8W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  77.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.5N  78.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 95NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
50 KT...145NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...175NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.0N  79.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 95NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
50 KT...145NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...175NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.6N  81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...145NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.7N  83.1W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 31.9N  86.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 35.0N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 40.0N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N  77.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Saturday, 04-Sep-2004 02:32:21 UTC