Hurricane FRANCES

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HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
2100Z THU AUG 26 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  46.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  55SE  55SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  46.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  45.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.6N  48.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  65SE  65SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.8N  50.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.9N  51.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.8N  52.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 21.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  46.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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