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Tropical Storm FRANCES (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
1500Z THU AUG 26 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  45.0W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 65NE  50SE  50SW  65NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  45.0W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  44.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.2N  49.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  65SE  65SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.4N  51.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N  52.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  55SW  55NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.6N  54.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  55SW  55NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N  45.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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