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Tropical Storm FRANCES


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
0300Z THU AUG 26 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  41.7W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  41.7W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  41.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.5N  43.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.3N  51.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 20.5N  56.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N  41.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
  
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Thursday, 26-Aug-2004 02:32:19 UTC