ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052004 0300Z MON AUG 16 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 65.4W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 65.4W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 64.4W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.4N 68.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.3N 72.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.9N 76.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.5N 80.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.0N 85.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 19.0N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 21.0N 93.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 65.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 16-Aug-2004 02:52:15 UTC