Hurricane DANIELLE

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TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042004
1500Z WED AUG 18 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  39.5W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE  50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  39.5W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  39.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.2N  39.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.5N  39.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.5N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 33.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 35.0N  33.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.0N  29.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 44.0N  18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  39.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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